{"id":23316,"date":"2015-11-19T16:20:11","date_gmt":"2015-11-19T16:20:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/news.umich.edu\/2015\/11\/19\/us-econ-outlook-2015-11-20-16-28-51\/"},"modified":"2015-11-19T16:20:11","modified_gmt":"2015-11-19T16:20:11","slug":"us-econ-outlook-2015-11-20-16-28-51","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/us-econ-outlook-2015-11-20-16-28-51\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6700\u5feb\u589e\u957f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c \u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e2016\u5e74\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u589e\u5e45\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5f88\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u4f4e\u4e8e5%\uff08\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2007\u5e74 \u6765\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u9996\u6b21\u4f4e\u4e8e5%\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4efd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6570\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a\uff08Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics) \u521a\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5df2\u65b0\u589e290\u4e07\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c \u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u4e24\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u4f1a\u65b0\u589e470\u4e07\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\uff082016\u5e74\u589e\u52a0240\u4e07\u4e2a\uff1b2017\u5e74\u589e\u52a0230\u4e07\u4e2a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u65b9\u9762\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece\u53bb\u5e74\u76846.2% \u8dcc\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u76845.3%\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u662f4.9%\uff0c2017\u5e74\u4e3a4.6%\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u517c\u804c\u4eba\u5458\u627e\u5230\u5168\u804c\u5de5\u4f5c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u589e\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p> <iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"800\" height=\"950\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"overflow-y:hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/magic.piktochart.com\/embed\/9470649-econ-report\"><\/iframe> <\/p>\n<p>\u6574\u4f53\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09 \u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f2.4%\uff0c \u660e\u5e74\u4e3a2.6%\uff0c2017\u5e74\u4e3a2.9%\u3002 \u5bc6\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Daniil Manaenkov\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;2015\u5e74\u56fd\u6c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u8868\u73b0\u5e73\u5e73\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u662f\u6d3b\u8dc3\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u88ab\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u7f13\u6162\u589e\u957f\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002 \u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u6301\u7eed\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u5de5\u8d44\u518d\u6b21\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u4e0a\u6da8\u53ca\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7ee7\u7eed\u590d\u82cf\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u4ec5GDP \u53ca\u5c31\u4e1a\u5728\u660e\u540e\u4e24\u5e74\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u53ca\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u4e5f\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u65b0\u623f\u5efa\u8bbe\u4eca\u5e74\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6da8\u5230113\u4e07\u5957\uff0c \u660e\u5e74\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u81f3131\u4e07\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u5e74\u6570\u91cf\u4e3a147\u4e07\u3002 \u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u989d\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3470\u4e07\uff0c\u660e\u5e74490\u4e07\uff0c 2017\u5e74\u4f1a\u6da8\u81f3500\u4e07\u3002 \u4eca\u5e74\u5c0f\u578b\u8f66\u8f86\u9500\u552e\u8fbe\u81f31740\u4e07\u8f86\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u4e3a1800\u4e07\u8f86\uff0c\u540e\u5e74\u9884\u6d4b\u8fbe1810\u4e07\u8f86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f17\u591a\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u9762\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ecd\u6709\u7591\u8651\u3002 &#8220;\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9707\u52a8\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u606f\u606f\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u51e0\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u7ecf\u6d4e\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u6d41\u901a\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5ffd\u7136\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6301\u7eed\u5730\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c \u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\uff0c\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u4e0d\u5229\u51c0\u51fa\u53e3\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u5bc6\u5927\u540c\u65f6\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u4e2a\u6708\u4f1a\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u4e5d\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u3002 \u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd3\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u503a\u52382016\u5e74\u5e95\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6da81.3%\uff0c \u52302017\u5e74\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6da82.2%\u3002 10\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u9884\u6d4b\u5230\u660e\u5e74\u5e95\u4f1a\u589e\u52a02.7%\uff0c 2017\u5e74\u4f1a\u5e95\u589e\u52a03.1%. 30\u5e74\u8d37\u6b3e\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u81f34.3%\uff0c 2017\u5e744.7%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u66f4\u591a\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.umich.edu\/~rsqe\">Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-30225\" alt=\"\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6700\u5feb\u589e\u957f\" src=\"http:\/\/news.umich.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/us-economy-to-grow-at-fastest-pace-in-10-years-chinese-lead-20151119.gif\" height=\"305\" width=\"435\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":30225,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[25369,24610,24611,25371,26,25374,25380,24606],"tags":[3176],"beat":[],"class_list":["post-23316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arts-culture-zh-hans","category-arts-culture","category-business-economy","category-business-economy-zh-hans","category-chinese-translations","category-education-society-zh-hans","category-health-zh-hans","category-24606","tag-seminar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23316","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/28"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23316"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23316\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23316"},{"taxonomy":"beat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.umich.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/beat?post=23316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}