Resilient consumers: October surge in confidence

October 27, 2006
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ANN ARBOR—The resilience of consumers was once again in evidence as consumer confidence recorded its eight largest monthly gain in the October 2006 survey. ” Declines in gas prices sparked the initial gains in late August, but the more substantial October gains were driven by the expectation of an improved pace of economic growth, larger wage gains, and a low unemployment rate during the year ahead,” according to Richard Curtin, the Director of the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers.

Not all aspects of future economic prospects were positive. Although inflation has improved due to declines in gas prices, consumers remain concerned that an elevated inflation rate will persist during the year ahead, and consumers widely anticipate additional hikes in interest rates next year. ” Despite a continued downturn in housing during 2007, the data indicate a 3